AIM Valuation Commentary

APRIL 2023

“ Mr.Market is there to serve you, not to guide you. It is his pocketbook, not his wisdom, that you will find useful.”

Warren Buffett

  • Shareholder returns are generated by a combination of two parts. Firstly, the underlying companies increasing their cashflows and therefore their “value”. Secondly, investors’ expectations of a company’s future cash flows, which is shown as the “price”.

  • Emotional responses are powerful, and when investors are fearful the price attributed to a company can fall materially lower than the value of that company. This can look uncomfortable on a share price chart, but it indicates that a company is on sale and presents a buying opportunity with the prospect of above average forward-looking returns. This is the premise of Benjamin Graham’s book “The Intelligent Investor” and is also the reason for the classic Warren Buffett adage “be greedy when others are fearful”.

  • While the gyrations of the market can be distressing during these troughs, they are a necessary part of the investment process. If one can control one’s emotional reactions through these uncomfortable periods, as a long-term investor one can take advantage of the opportunities that may present themselves.

  • We remain excited about the potential future returns of the portfolios.

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